Aug 7, 2026 | Forecast presented by Polymarket | U.S. intelligence now assesses that Vladimir Putin could risk a limited attack on a NATO member within the next several years—via cyber, hybrid tactics, or a restricted land incursion—shifting from earlier views that Russia would avoid such moves while fighting in Ukraine, according to The Wall Street Journal. The elevated risk through 2029 is tied to battlefield pressures and domestic demands for results, alongside concerns over U.S. munitions stocks that the Pentagon and White House dispute. #geopolitics #news #NATO
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